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April 20, 2010
It took more than a year of economic in-fighting and political wrangling for President Obama to get what he wanted: a health care law, even with its imperfections, on which his legacy may depend.
The new health-care law will cost the federal government $940 billion over 10 years, but it is expected to extend coverage to 32 million uninsured people and be able to save $138 billion during this decade, according to projections of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
The important provisions of the 2,400-page health-care legislation are confusing to most people, especially since many of the significant features do not go into effect until 2014. Between now and then, millions of currently insured people may be forced to drop their coverage because of unaffordable increases in premiums, co-payments and out-of-pocket costs.
One of the main provisions of the law, including the creation of state insurance exchanges where uninsured Americans can shop for competitively priced policies, will also not take effect until 2014.
Many working people are unaware that they will be penalized if they don’t possess the health insurance coverage mandated by the law, even if they cannot afford it, despite government subsidies. They will have to pay an annual penalty of $695 per person up to $2,085 per family, or 2.5 percent of their family income, whichever is greater.
While considerable confusion remains about the fate of Medicare and Medicaid, integrating 32 million people into the health program represents formidable administrative problems. And what about policing the mandate that may compel more than tens of millions of the population to buy and maintain health insurance?
President Obama plans to nominate 15 members of an Independent Payment Advisory Board for six-year terms for what are to be full-time jobs overseeing the health-care law., While Senate confirmation is required, the board could put its own proposals into effect unless Congress modified or rejected them within 30 days.
The board was a top priority for Obama during the long legislative battle on health insurance. He faced down Democratic leaders who opposed delegating powers to an unelected board that would influence the future of Medicare, Medicaid and possibly Social Security.
With the federal debt projected to rise to levels that many economists consider unsustainable, mainly due to growing health costs and an aging population, Congress might have little choice in coming years but to accede to unpopular limits on cutting payments to health-care providers and beneficiaries. The board would give them political cover to do so, while deflecting criticism from the Obama administration.
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